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Don Dawson

Thu, May 25th, 2023

Don Dawson

Don Dawson

Don is an independent commodity futures trader with 35-plus years of experience. He has authored hundreds of articles on commodity markets and trading education. He previously instructed futures classes for an international trading school for 15 years, where he received multiple awards. In addition, Don is an author and Futures Market Analyst for Barchart, where he discusses the futures markets as a weekly guest on the Money.net podcast. 

Most Recent Stories

Anticipated 2023 Surplus of Soybean Supply Driving Bean Oil Lower

As the commodity supercycle continues to erode, the ramifications are beginning to appear in market prices. The market maxim, "The cure for high commodity prices is high commodity prices," continues to...

GSG : 19.46 (+0.72%)
DXY00 : 103.980 (+0.09%)
ZLN23 : 48.48 (+1.00%)
ZSN23 : 1325-0 (unch)
2023 Bumper Corn Crop?

Could corn production surprise traders this year? With the current planting season off to a decent start and any luck from Mother Nature, corn production/supply could significantly improve this year.

CLM23 : 71.99s (+0.61%)
A Seasonal Market Pattern to Assist Your Personal Finance

The US Government's 10-Year Treasury Note significantly impacts the global economy. It also affects your personal finance when it comes to acquiring essential assets. We will discuss these impacts and...

$TNX : 3.74 (+0.81%)
USTM1.RT : 5.73% (+1.06%)
ZNM23 : 113-075 (unch)
GCM23 : 1,960.9 (-0.19%)
TLT : 100.53 (-0.49%)
Stock Market: 4 Reasons to be Bearish on Stocks

With the recent stock market rally, what looked like some relief for the bulls now has bearish observations. For stock price rallies to be sustainable, there must be broad market participation. Perhaps...

SPY : 411.09 (-0.72%)
$S5FI : 31.41 (-22.92%)
CLM23 : 71.99s (+0.61%)
Corn Trend: If You Build It, They Will Come

Corn prices have put in a base and are trending higher. Grain elevators have struggled to meet demand as old crop supplies have dwindled in their bins due to the inverted market structure (backwardation)....

ZCN23 : 589-0 (+0.30%)
XNN23 : 589-0 (+0.30%)
CORN : 23.03 (+0.13%)
Is Dr. Copper's Lagging Performance Due to the Upcoming Recession?

Gold and silver appear to absorb massive tax refund dollars while creating higher prices. In comparison, these metals shine due to the outlook for a possible Federal Reserve Board (Fed) pivot in interest...

HGN23 : 3.5930 (+0.88%)
QLN23 : 3.5935 (+0.90%)
JJC : 18.38 (-1.54%)
Soybeans: Will Fewer Acres Planted Result in Higher Bean Prices?

Soybean planting intentions revealed more corn acres for 2023 than soybean. The Soybean/Corn ratio has been trading under the breakeven ratio confirming this would be the case. Will this put a floor under...

SOYB : 24.83 (-0.32%)
ZSX23 : 1181-0 (-0.34%)
XKX23 : 1179-2 (-0.49%)
Stock Market: 5 Reasons to be Bullish on Stocks

After a grueling bear market in stocks, investors may be experiencing some evidence of a tiring bear and a bull with some vigor. I'm not predicting a straight line to new all-time highs, but the path of...

Are Wheat Prices Poised to Come Up from the Basement?

During the past 52 weeks, wheat prices have fallen by 49%. That's a fast elevator ride down. Managed money traders have crowded the bakery with short positions. Is it time for a seasonal relief rally?

ZWN23 : 605-6 (unch)
XWN23 : 606-1 (unch)
WEAT : 6.13 (-2.54%)
Corn: Is the News Correlated to Price Movement?

As traders, we need catalysts to assist with moving prices from one place to another. After all, if prices don't move, it isn't easy to make money. The catalyst could come in the news, but can this news...

ZCN23 : 589-0 (+0.30%)
XNN23 : 589-0 (+0.30%)
CORN : 23.03 (+0.13%)

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History in the making 👇 $NVDA https://t.co/eJe3xKPFhK
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Do Triple Top Chart Patterns exist? (Doing a poll as there appears to be some debate from the earlier Gold tweet)
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Nvidia $NVDA is expected to derive 50-60% of its 2023 revenue from artificial intelligence according to research from JP Morgan. Here is a list showing the % of revenue other companies expect to earn this year from AI: https://t.co/2zbQ0y7dyq
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Potential Triple Top for Gold? H/T: @Callum_Thomas https://t.co/06Cyi4QuSM
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Updated Nvidia $NVDA Trader's Cheat Sheet based on yesterday's closing price https://t.co/mnCQkWqY7c
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Treasury Bills maturing around the U.S. Treasury's "X" date are yielding more than 6% which is higher than some corporate bonds sold by junk-rated companies https://t.co/GzprhP5gHM
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Food inflation proving sticky in the UK as the average cost of an English Breakfast is up an average of 22% year-over-year. In fact, every single item that makes up Bloomberg's Breakfast Index has increased since April 2022. https://t.co/pPdQYJqp5R
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Expectations of a Federal Reserve June interest rate hike are increasing. Fed swaps are now pricing in a 40% chance of a 25bps hike in June. https://t.co/oAw2rwUUcC
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Did you miss today's webinar "Barchart's Indispensable Tools for Trading the Futures Markets?" No worries as it's now available on our YouTube Channel 👇 Link: https://t.co/ALIauEbvMG https://t.co/ALkessSiUD
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Fed Governor Christopher Waller believes additional interest rate hikes are coming and won't support a pause right now https://t.co/Ny5iinaycM
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The Treasury Yield Curve (10Y-3M) is a perfect 8/8 in forecasting recessions since 1968. Duke University Professor Campbell Harvey believed it was showing a false warning in January. He now believes it is real and only questions how deep the recession will be. https://t.co/rgWiTZ4aNj
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A U.S. credit rating downgrade is being considered by Fitch Ratings https://t.co/MxZOb10QKv
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7 Fear & Greed Indicators: * Market Momentum (Greed) * Stock Price Strength (Neutral) * Stock Price Breadth (Fear) * Put and Call Options (Extreme Greed) * Market Volatility (Neutral) * Safe Haven Demand (Greed) * Junk Bond Demand (Greed) https://t.co/qRmhZnyEa8 https://t.co/G0EZ5FBfky
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Here is how much money you need to be among the Top 1% in the World's 10 Richest Countries: https://t.co/BWuQwM3qZA
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ETFs w/ most active options trading: $SPY - 9.076M $QQQ - 3.153M $IWM - 1.022M $XLI - 387k $HYG - 382k $KRE - 308k $TQQQ - 253k $EEM - 243k $UVXY - 243k $SLV - 234k $XLF - 203k $SQQQ - 197k $EWZ - 192k $TLT - 142k $ARKK - 124k $EFA - 123k $SOXL - 116k $GLD - 101k $XHB - 76k
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Stocks w/ most active options trading: $TSLA - 2.178M $NVDA - 930k $AMZN - 837k $AAPL - 722k $NU - 422k $AMD - 396k $PLTR - 385k $BABA - 358k $NIO - 330k $NFLX - 315k $GOOGL - 295k $DIS - 285k $META - 283k $MSFT - 279k $PFE - 267k $ETRN - 226k What options did you trade?
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% of Large Cap Stocks Above Their Moving Averages https://t.co/qoXV3Chkvo
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Stock Market Fear & Greed Index = 61 (Greed) https://t.co/EuG3dB1zK3
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Dividends from the world's largest 1,200 publicly traded companies hit a record $326.7 billion during the 1st quarter, a 12% increase YOY https://t.co/iTXZT7eLkK
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Central Banks bought 1,079 tonnes of gold bullion in 2022, the most ever since record keeping began in 1950. https://t.co/9uPBBZPFL0 https://t.co/GlOwh0NP7Y
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